WASHINGTON — There may be more debates ahead and countless more campaign rallies and television ads to air. But their impact on the electorate will diminish with each passing day; early voting has already begun.
More than a dozen states already are collecting ballots either through absentee votes by mail or in-person early voting, and there could be some early clues as to the outcome.
A database maintained by University of Florida professor Michael McDonald in conjunction with the Associated Press Election Research Group finds that 96,024 votes have been cast nationwide.
The Iowa secretary of state says that 26,980 votes have been cast, with 57 percent from Democrats and 26 percent from Republican voters.
To put it into perspective, Donald Trump earned more than 45,000 votes in the 2016 Iowa caucuses, for a second-place finish in the critical lead-off nominating contest.
Hillary Clinton’s campaign has been particularly focused on maximizing its early vote program, especially in key states like Iowa, where a sizable percentage of ballots will come before Nov. 8.
In Florida, it is Republicans with a very early advantage in the early vote – with 48 percent of early votes compared to 32 percent from Democrats, as of Monday.
Still, those totals are a small fraction of what the overall early vote looked like in 2012.
On Election Day in 2012, just 16 percent of Colorado voters cast ballots. Less than a third did in Nevada, while 38 percent did in North Carolina.
But Pennsylvania accounted for the highest percentage of Election Day votes, with only 4 percent coming early.
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